Mickey's Journal

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kiravon
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Mickey's Journal

Unread post by kiravon »

Didn't like what I saw today, just looked all chop to me so stayed out.
Others may have made a few pips and that's great but to 'my mind'
the 1M the 5M and the higher TFs just looked like an erratic mess
- it might just be in my mind more than the charts or likely both

Calls to mind the saying of the infamous horse racing tipster, Colin
Davey, 'Never look for bets, let them look for you!'

Also agreeing with a comment on the first page of Trading the Zone,
'There's a big difference between predicting that something will happen
in the market (and thinking about all the money you could have made)
and the reality of actually getting into and out of trades. I call this
difference, and others like it, a "psychological gap" that can make trading
one of the most difficult endeavors you could choose to undertake and
certainly one of the most mysterious to master'

That is just so true! How many times on demo I have spotted a
perfect set up in agreement with one or more higher time frames,
placed the trade and then actually forgot about it - anyone else
done that?

Then a few days later or more sometimes, you accidentally open
up that demo account to see you are sometimes literally thousands
of dollars better off!!

Isn't it strange how that only seems to happen on demo! :)

Brian Tracy calls this the 'Law of Reversed Effort' or Law of Relaxation'

Of course when hard cash is involved we get a bit intense
and cautious and we may see more opportunity for loss than
profit, and that stress albeit moderate, distorts our perception
of the same chart that in demo mode seems like certain to win -
and so often it does - in demo mode.

It seems that our biggest challenge is in bridging that psychological gap.

Can you believe its April, Spring is in the air - and its just started
snowing again here in Poland!

To quote from Faulty Towers - 'What do you get for living in a climate
like this, green stamps?' :)
Stop searching for the Holy Grail, you've already found it -
It's in your mind!
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immy
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Re: Mickey's Journal

Unread post by immy »

Hi Mickey

Thank you for proof readin the Fruit document. After reading it again, i feel so embarrassed that I allowed such a low quality document to be part of this fine community. I have spent nearly all day today, personally, reading and re-writing it. Hopefully I will be getting 2hr daily sessions over the break and will transform the fruit document. I'll send it over for another proof read if you dont mind! :)

meanwhile Enjoy the break have fun to you your friends and family and everyone else here at AIMS! Happy Easter!
What is the Secret of Successful Trading?
The Consistent Pursuit of DS1 :nerd

The thing that makes me money in trading is when I "Objectively Follow my Trading Plan".

I understand that I can't catch all the moves or all the signals but my objective is to catch THE VALID SIGNALS & ONLY the Valid Signals.

My Deathbed Advice "5:1 Reward to Risk Ratio".

Yo, banana boy! 🍌
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kiravon
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Mickey's Journal

Unread post by kiravon »

I'd be honoured to set up another T20 daily proofreading :)
Stop searching for the Holy Grail, you've already found it -
It's in your mind!
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immy
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Joined: 22 Nov 2010, 16:46
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Re: Mickey's Journal

Unread post by immy »

The volume has gone past 152 pages now :)
What is the Secret of Successful Trading?
The Consistent Pursuit of DS1 :nerd

The thing that makes me money in trading is when I "Objectively Follow my Trading Plan".

I understand that I can't catch all the moves or all the signals but my objective is to catch THE VALID SIGNALS & ONLY the Valid Signals.

My Deathbed Advice "5:1 Reward to Risk Ratio".

Yo, banana boy! 🍌
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kiravon
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Mickey's Journal

Unread post by kiravon »

Easter Holiday Monday and no Dax today. I don't feel the urge
to trade, no gambling fever here and I would have doubts about
volatility

But I would like to practice some of the principles I've recently
taken in since my 'Black Tuesday' of last week.

Ive found a signal on AUSUSD - 3 pip spread so I wouldn't
normally trade this on GKFX but not worried about winning today,
just learning - but I will try to win :)
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Stop searching for the Holy Grail, you've already found it -
It's in your mind!
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kiravon
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Mickey's Journal

Unread post by kiravon »

Sequence 6

C1 DS 1 -5
C2 DS 0 -22
C3 DS 0 -31
C4 DS 0 -5
C5 DS 0 -10
C6 DS 0 -15
C7 DS 0 -16
C8 DS 0 -4
C9 DS 0 -8
C10 DS 0 -16
C11 DS 0 -26
C12 DS 1 - 20
C13 DS 1 +80
C14 DS 1 +10
C15 DS 1 +12
C16 DS 1 -24
C17 DS 1 -18
C18 DS 1 +23
C19 DS 1 BE
C20 DS 1 -7

Sequence 6 Total DS 10/20 -102 pips
Stop searching for the Holy Grail, you've already found it -
It's in your mind!
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kiravon
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Mickey's Journal

Unread post by kiravon »

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Stop searching for the Holy Grail, you've already found it -
It's in your mind!
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kiravon
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Mickey's Journal

Unread post by kiravon »

Sequence 7


C1 DS 1 -14
C2 DS 1 +12
C3 DS 1 -8
C4 DS 1 -3
C5 DS 1 +13
C6 DS 1 -12
C7 DS 1 BE

Total so far -12 pips

DS Score 7/7
Stop searching for the Holy Grail, you've already found it -
It's in your mind!
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kiravon
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Mickey's Journal

Unread post by kiravon »

From the makers of 'Black Tuesday!'

[center]Sitting on a Precipice![/center]

Actually a very nice Fruit Trade. Everything more or less picture perfect
Too perfect! That stressful feeling after the second Add on when you know
the party must surely be almost over, and you don't want to miss out -

In other words I was very clear that exit was either cross of green or valid
opposing Fruit but supposing it closes just above green for a brief retrace
before plummeting down for another +50?

Actually as I write Kyle just wrote on Skype
'Sitting on a Precipice!'

I feel like a gambler, is my winning horse going to fall at the last hurdle?
I was too excited. My result of + 46 +38 -12 is the sort of result
that Immy routinely gets when at the very same time I invariably walk away
with a losing trade

Have I suddenly come of age?

No, I don't think that for a moment. It was just a very valid Fruit that really
took off right on London Open - 8.50am and especially Add on at 9.01am

If I just keep doing this I should do well, but coping with the psychology,
staying calm, keeping emotions out of the equation

This is still the ultimate challenge!

Best pics to date :) a clear, coherent uncluttered trade, and all done and dusted in
just 24 minutes - not bad for a day's work! :)
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Stop searching for the Holy Grail, you've already found it -
It's in your mind!
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kiravon
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Mickey's Journal

Unread post by kiravon »

Don't beat yourself up for that too much. 80 Pips in the first 20 minutes here is not only due to skills but with a bit of luck as well, IMHO. Beside entries, you need to catch the perfect exit level and avoid opposite fruits as well. So, to me, a good, repeatable score would be around 40 and 50 Pips for this LO-trade.

Because you can never decide 100% objectively to trail candles. Sometimes it appears "better" to exit at fruits, sometimes at AIMS level and sometimes at green gator.



Some Wise words from Michael on Skype. Getting in isn't so hard. Its far more mechanical but getting out?...

That's where the money is really won or lost! That's what I was alluding to in my last post...

and actually Michael has answered it pretty well. When you are 125 pips up you know it is unlikely
that is the final profit

I was +125 pips up this morning and all I wanted to do close all three positions to AVOID LOSS

I did the 'right' thing, I closed at close after green for +72 pips

That was a very nice win by my standards! Michael says +50 is about average so I was well
ahead this morning

But I was up +125 pips at one point..

So where are my 53 pips that I lost? - thats 42% deducted!

That's a high level of taxation! way beyond rent!

We can't possibly know the very optimum point to close before price reverses

But with very high momentum candles I tripled my AIMS account last year by
trailing the candles on the 1M TF - Generally I gave very little back trailing
dynamically in this way

What point learning new lessons when you completely ignore successes
of the past?

Closing after green is sound in a less volatile situation, but when you have
high momentum and have hit +125 pip mark including Add ons,, it would kind of
make sense not to give 42% back for no reason at all!

As we see from the pic - very fast moving market peaked at about +125
on the 1M TF! How much more was I expecting?!

Closing way back up at close of green gave +46 +38 - 12 = 72 pips
Trailing dynamically the 1M candles would have given +55 +48 +1 = 103 pips

Thats a big difference! especially if I am going to be this blinkered
and inflexible on all my future trades!

But to return to Michael's point -
Because you can never decide 100% objectively to trail candles. Sometimes it appears "better" to exit at fruits, sometimes at AIMS level and sometimes at green gator

This surely is the art of trading? Knowing intuitively what the smart thing to do in any given situation -

This is the 'Knack'

This is 'Unconscious Competence'

That is consistently profitable trading!

So a good day for me. A good profit and more importantly, a good reminder of something I already knew!

Its probably seemingly 'minor' comments like this in the Skype room that build up into a collection
of trading wisdom and more than justify the subscription cost

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Stop searching for the Holy Grail, you've already found it -
It's in your mind!
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