Ray's amnesty page

[kiravon]

yes I did a lot of back testing of 25 EMA last year.

I don't know about M1 but on M5 it is highly significant.

When the 25 crosses through red and green and is
confluent with either a break of AIMS or cross of
zero it is a very powerful indicator and invariably
makes a profit

But often it doesn't exactly cross, maybe running
alongside, and even then as it starts to pull away
I found its just as good

It works on its own but is especially a powerful
confirmation of an AIMS set up

25 ema.PNG

[wiseambitions]

I'm also still awake, having fallen asleep for a couple hours earlier! I like your chart. I think if you hover over the chart it tells you sometimes how many views it's had. I don't know if multiple views by the same person (eg self) keep pushing up the counter, but it would be interesting all the same to get some interraction from other members on this observation over the 25 line.

What I wanted to say was that the validation of a 25 cross of red as an entry system (on Dax m1) required the AO to be less than about 10, in other words for the market to be steady and not miles away from the ZL. There is a digital representation of the AO in the top left hand part of the AO window. For example where you have in your chart above the white writing for Ewaves version. I don't know what the setting might be for things other than Dax, but I have noticed that if the thing is moving wild and the AO is say 25 and not less than 10 then the cross of red line (teeth) is less reliable.

Have a look also if you like at a chart with both 25EMA and 25SMA lines (not shifted) and see if you notice something interesting about price action after the lines cross over. Especially if the lines are not flat at the time.

I don't think these ideas are un-aims, there is something very good about fractal breaks in conjunction with the right position of AO, and something even better about double-aims breaks (i.e. on m1 and m5 concurrently) but these concepts I have added can give entries in the middle of an aims box and perhaps a few extra pips prior to break of the S&R fractals. And perhaps a safe exit with decent profit before price does a round trip.

[wiseambitions]

Wednesday afternoon results for me, and all for not a lot in boring ranging conditions, giving 1% positive return all the same, I was 25 pips down at one point, ending 2.7 up, although poor performance was in part due to lack of attention as I had to go out for 20 minutes in the middle of it all. In the end I was glad I didn't quit prior to the recovery but it did feel like the market was playing pump and dump on me.

1.4
-8
-3.5
-5.2
-4.5
-5.5
6
8
14

[wiseambitions]

Friday and Dax

Whatever the timeframe, be it H1, M30, M15, M5, let alone M1, I don't think there's any commentator who could explain to us how money could have been made today
H1 -obviously no signals, but as you get into m15 etc, using Aims principles (break of Aims, and let profit ride until green line gets in the way etc) I think the very best outcome would still have involved break evens, minor profits and losses, with M1 many more potential losses than wins.

You never know what a day is going to bring, but twice this week we've had useless days after days of big moves. I was caused to think I'd forgotten how it's meant to be done

2016-08-12_1903_h1_Dax.png

2016-08-12_1904_m30_dax.png

2016-08-12_1915_m15_dax.png

2016-08-12_1928_M5_dax.png

[Tomi]

how money could have been made today

Fruits. With fruits Others just take the losses and/or wait for other session.

[wiseambitions]

yes Tomi, I don't tend to try these contra trend tactics Tomi because I think deciding which fruit signals to take (eg after price has detached from parallel to alligator), and knowing how and when to take the profit are not clear enough defined to me in my understanding. I am always interested when people put up their charts for this, but hey only 5 of us have written anything in this forum this entire week! Is it holiday time or is there too much apathy? Where is the enthusiasm we used to get?

[Tomi]

It was a slow day at least for first couple hours of London open. I traded 2 seeds and those didn't work out. But you asked what would have worked and in hindsight fruits would have worked to some point No worries. Slow day, not good for trading and next week again with a fresh mind.

[wiseambitions]

Yes we are glad for the weekends

But we dont know as we face each day whether anything will actually move or not. Such is chaos

[Tomi]

True, we don't know about the possible move 100% beforehand but at least during first couple of hours of London session there's a good chance to get moves. Also I think that central Europeans are having holidays during August. We just have to wait for better days. All good chap!

[wiseambitions]

It's interesting what you say about the first couple of hours. I tried to do some statistics recently on the basis how many of my trades taking valid signals for opening and closing 0800 to 0900 were profitable, likewise for every hour of the day through to about 1700 and how many pips did they potentially generate.
No real pattern has yet emerged, because whereas we might expect that 1100-1300 might be like the doldrums, and generally get us stuck in ranges, it only needs the occasional big win to confound this expectation, which has sometimes happened.
Another member did mail me a month or two ago saying his plans were built on 1.5% a day (seems sustainable and not too amibitious to me!), in response to which I'd say the chance to make that much is probably accomplished by 0945.
Maybe also SNorm feels that the first couple hours are likely to be most productive because I think he may have developed a little EA to try and capitalise on that.